|
---|
|
????? ?
| ????? 5
,
1934
(
1934-03-05
)
[1]
[2]
??? ????
,
???????
|
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??????? ?
| ????? 27
,
2024
(
2024-03-27
)
[3]
(90 ???????)
???? ???? ?????
,
???? ????
,
???? ????
,
???
[4]
|
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???????????????
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???????????????
| ???????
,
?????????
,
??????????? ???????
,
??????????
?
???????
|
---|
????????
| Princeton University Press
[5]
|
---|
?????????????(???)
| ?????????? ??????? ??????????
,
Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences
?
,
?????????? ??????????? ??????????
,
???????????? ??????????, ??????
?
????????? ??????????
|
---|
?????????????? ?????
| ???????? ??????????????
,
??????????? ????????????????
,
??????????????
[6]
?
????????????????
[6]
|
---|
???????????????
| ???-? ?????????????? ??????? ????????
[7]
,
?????????? ? ?????????????? ????????? ????????
[8]
,
??????????? ?????????????? ????????
[9]
,
?????????? ????????????? ????????????
[10]
,
Society of Experimental Psychologists
?
,
????????? ? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????????? ????????
[11]
?
????????????? ????????????
[12]
|
---|
???? ?????
| ?????????? ??????? ??????????
(
1954
)
,
???????????? ??????????, ??????
(
1961
)
?
Hebrew University Secondary School
?
|
---|
?????????? ? ??????????
| ????????
[13]
[14]
,
?????????
[13]
?
????
|
---|
??????? ???????
| ?????? ????? ????
|
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???? ? ??????? ???????
| ?????? ?????
,
???? ?????
[15]
,
????? ????????
[15]
,
??? ??????
[15]
,
????? ?. ????
[15]
,
????? ?? ?????
[15]
?
?????? ???? ????
[15]
|
---|
????? ? ??????
| ???????? ??????
???????? ????????????????
????????? ??????????
|
---|
????????
| ????????? ??????????? ?????????
(2007)
???????? ???????
??????????????? ??????????? (2002)
??? ??????????? ??????????????
(1982)
???????? ??????????
(2003)
|
---|
???????(???)
| ?? ???????
[16]
|
---|
????
| kahneman.scholar.princeton.edu
(????.)
|
---|
Daniel Kahneman
?????????????
|
?????? ???????
(
????.
?
Daniel Kahneman
,
?????????
?
????? ?????
?,
????? 5
,
1934
(
1934-03-05
)
[1]
[2]
,
??? ????
,
???????
-
????? 27
,
2024
(
2024-03-27
)
[3]
,
???? ???? ?????
,
???? ????
,
???? ????
,
???
[4]
), ????-????????? ???????? ????????? ? ???????, ????????? ?
???????? ????????
??????????? ??????????????? ???????? ?? ???????????? ?????, ???????? ???????????? ???????????? ??????????? ???????? ? ??????????? ?????????? (
2002
)? ?? ????????? ?
??????????? ???????????????
????????????????? ????? ??????????? ??????????????? ??? ????????? ?? ????????????????? ?? ???????? ???????????????, ???? ?????????? ? ??????? ?????????? ????? ? ?? ????? ??????????????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ??????????????
???? ????????
? ????? ??? ????????? ???????
???????????
???? ????????? ????????? ???????? ?????, ????? ????? ?? ?????????????? ? ?????????????????? (Kahneman & Tversky, 1973; Kahneman,
Slovic
& Tversky, 1982; Tversky & Kahneman, 1974), ? ?????????
???????????? ???????????
(Kahneman & ???????, 1979)?
2011 ????????
Foreign Policy
???????? ???? ????? ????????????? ???????? ?????????? ???????? ????? ?????? ????????? ?????????? ?? ?????????????????? ????? ??????
?????????????. ????? ?? ???????
(
Thinking, Fast and Slow
)
?????, ??? ?????? ???????????
?????????
????????? ???????????
?????? ???????? ????????
????????????? ? ???????????????? ??? ?????? ??????? ?? ?? ??? ??????? ? ?????????????? ????????????? ????????????
TGG Group
-? ???????????? ?? ?? ?????????? ?? ???????? ???????
??? ?????????
???, ?? ??????? 2018-? ???????? 9-???
2015-??,
The Economist
-? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ???????????
????????? ????? ?
??? ???????
, ???????????? ??? ? ??????
????????
,
1948
?. ?????????? ?
????????
?
1954
?.
?????????? ??????? ?????????????
?????? ? ???????????? ? ????????????? ????????? ???????, ???? ???? ??????? ?
???????? ?? ????????
, ????????????
?????????????
???????? ????? ?????? ???????? ?? ????????????? ??????????? ? ????????????? ????????? ??????? ?? ???? ????????? ??????
???????? ????????????? ?????????? ???? ????????? ??????????? ? ??????? ??????????, ????? ??????????????? ? ?????????????? ??????????? ? ????????
1958
?. ??????????? ?
???
?
1961
?. ???????
???????????? ?????????????
??????? ????????????? ?????????????? ??????? ??????? ????????????? ????
1969
?. ?????????????? ? ???? ???????? ???, ?? ????????? ???????? ??????? ????????????? ?????????????? ?? ??????? ?????????????????? ??????????????? ????????? ??????
2014
-?? ???????? ?
?????????
? ??????? ????????????????? ??????????? ? Economics and Philosophy ??????? ?????????? ??????? ????????? ????? ?? ??????????, ?? ??????? ? ??????? ??????????? ????????????????
[17]
, ?? ?????????? ??, ?? ??? ?????, ????? ???? ?? ???????? ????? ?? ??? ???????????, ????? ????? ?? ??????????????
?????? ???????
? ??? ?????? ????
????????? ?? ??????????? ???????? ????? ? 1961 ???????? ?????????? ???????? ????????????? ????? ???????? 1966 ???????? ?????? ? ???? ???????? ?? ????????? ???????????? ???? ?? ????????? ???????? ? ???????????? ??????????? ??????, ?? ?????? ???????????? ???? ?
Science
????????? "Pupil Diameter and Load on Memory" ????????? (Kahneman & Beatty, 1966): ??? ????????????????? ?????????
???????? ???????????
(1965?66) ?
????????
????????? ????????????? ?????????? ????? ????????? ??????? ?? (1968-1969)? 1966-1967??. ???????? ?????????????????????? ???????? ????? ?? ?
???????? ?????????????
???????? ?????????????
????????
???????????? ? ??????????? ????????
[
????????
|
???????? ????
]
??? ????????????????? ?? ?????? ? ?? ???????? ??????????????????? ???? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ??????????? ?? ??????????? ?
??????????? ????????
?????????? ?? ???? ?????????? 2002 ???????? ????????? ?????????? ?
???????? ???????? ??????????????? ????????
???????????? ????????? ??? ??????? ?? ???????? ?????? ????????? ?? ???????? ??? ??????? ??? ??????? ????????? ?? "????????????? ???????????? ????????????. ??????????? ? ????????????????" (Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases) ????????????? (1982), ??? ??? ???????????? ??????? ????? ?????? ????????? ? ???????????? ????
?? ????????????????? ????????? ??????? ?, ?? ???????? ??? ??????????????????? ?????? ??? ????? ????, ??? ????????? ???? ???????? ???????? ????????????? ?? ???????????? ???? ??????? ?????????????? ???????? (1968/1969): ????? ?????? ??????? ???????? "????? ???? ????? ?????? ????????" (Belief in the Law of Small Numbers), ??????????? ? 1971-?? (Tversky & Kahneman, 1971): 1971-1979??. ????? ?????? ?????????? ?? 7 ?????????? ???? "???????????? ????????????" (Prospect Theory) ??? ?????? ?? ??? "????????????? ???????????? ????????????. ??????????? ? ???????????????? (Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases)" ??????? (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974), ??? ??????????? ?
Science
????????? ? ???????????? ?? ????? ???????? ?????????
1978-?? ????????? ???????? ? ???????? ???????????? ? ????????? ??????????
?????????? ??????????? ?????????????
?
????????? ?? ????????
????????? ???????????
??????????? ?????????????? ???????? ????????????????? ????????
???????? ??? 1977?1978??.: ????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????????? ?????????
????????? ?????????????????? ??????? ????????
????????? ????????????? ????????? ??????? ??? ??? ?????????? ???? ? ??????? ???? ?????????? ????????? ? ??? ???????????? ?????? ??????? ???????????? ??? (Kahneman, 2003, p. 437): ???????, ????????? ???????????? ????????? ? ????????? ?? ???????? ???????????????? ???, 1980-?? ?????????? "???? ??????? ??????????? ?????? ??????????" (Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice) ???????, ????? ?????????? ???????? ? ??????????? ??????????????? ???????? (Kahneman, 2003, ?? 438)?
????????? ?? ???????? ????????????? ??????????? ?? ??? ??? ????????? ????????? ???? ????? ??????????? ?? ?????? ?????????? ????????? ????? ???????? ????? ???? 1983?. ????????? ?? ?????????? ??????????? ?? ????????? ???????? ??? ???????, ??? 1983-?? ?????????? ????? ?????? ?? ????? ??? ????????? ???, ??? ??? ?????????? ?? 1978-???
1990-???? ??????????? ????????? ???????????? ?????????? ??
≪??????? ???????????????≫
? ??? ?????????? ???????? ?????? ?
?????? ?????????????
??????? ???, ??? ??? ??????? ???? ???????? ?? ???? ??????? ???????? ????????? ? ??? ??????????????
??????? ??????????????? ?????????????? ?, ?? ???? ? ????? ? ?????? ???????? ?????? ??? ????? ??? ?????????? ? ????????, ??????????????, ????, ??????????, ???????????, ?????????, ???????????????? ? ?????????????????? ????????????????? ???? ??? ??? ?????????? ? ????????????? ?????????????, ?????????????? ????? ??????????, ????? ?????????? ?? ??? ??????????????????
????? ? ????, ?? ??? ????????? ????? ??????????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ????????????????? ???, ?????? ????????? ?, ?? ?? ???? ?????????
?????????????
????? ?? ?????????????? ????? ??? ?? 1979?1986??. ?????????? ? 23 ???????? ? ??????, 1987?1989??. ????????? ?????????? ???????? ??? ??????, ???? ???? ????? ?????????? ????????? ????????????? ? ??? ????????????? ?????????? (Kahneman & Snell, 1990; Kahneman & Thaler, 1991; Kahneman & Varey, 1991 ? ????)? 1992 ???????? ?????? ?? ????????? ????????????? ?????? ? ????????? ????? ≪???????? ????????? ???? ?????? ????????????????≫ ?????????? ??????? ???? ????????? ??????????? ?? ????????????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? (Kahneman, 1992, 1994; Kahneman & Lovallo, 1993 ? ????), ??????? ??????????????? ??????????? ?? ???? ??? ?????????????? ???????????? ?????????? (??????? Fredrickson & Kahneman, 1993; Kahneman, Fredrickson, Schreiber & Redelemeier, 1993; Kahneman, Wakker & Sarin, 1997; Redelmeier & Kahneman, 1996):
????????? ?????? ????? ??? ?????????
????????????? ????????
???????? (Kahneman & Schkade, 1998; Kahneman, Krueger, Schkade, Schwarz & Stone, 2006), ??????? ??????? ???????? ???? ??????? ?????????, ??? ????? ?????????? ?? ????? ??????? ??????? ??? ?????? ???????????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????????????? ?? ?????? ? ??? ????? ??????????? ???????????, ??? ?????????? ????????????? ?
?????? ????????
? ???????????? ? ???, ??? ?????? ????? ?? ?????? ??? ??????? ????????????? ????? ????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ? ?????? ?? ??????????? ??? ??????? ??????????????? ????????? ?????? ????? ?????????? ?????????????, ????? ??? ????? ????? ??? ???????????? ?? ????????? ??? ????? ??????? ? ????????? ? ?????? 1998-? "??????
??????????????
?????? ???????? ???????? ? ????? ???????. ?????? ???????????????? ?????????? ???????????????? ???????? (Does living in California make people happy? A focusing illusion in judgments of life satisfaction)" ?????????, ????? ???????? ? ???????????? ??????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????????????? ????????, ?????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ???, ?? ?????????????? ????? ????? ????????????? ????? ??????? ??? ???????? ??????????? ??? ????????????? ???? ???? ????????? ????? ????????????? ?????????? ????? ???? ?????????????? ???????????? ??? ?????????? ?????????? ??????????????
?????????
????????? ???????????
????????????? ?????????? ? ?????? ???????? ???????? ? ?????????? ??????? ???????? ???? ???????? ? ? ???????????????????? ????? ?????? ?? ??? ???????? ??????????? ?????????? ? ? ???? ?????????
????????? ?????? ???? ???? ??????? ??? ????????? ??, ??? ??? ????? 2 ?????? ??????? ???? ???????? ??????? ??? ????????? ?? ????? ???????? ???? (1978-2018)? ?????????? ??????????? ?? ????? ????
??????
?
- 2001 ???????? ?? ??????? ?
?????????????? ??????? ??????????
?????;
- 2002 ???????? ?????????, ???????
???????
, ????????? ? ???????? ???????? ??????????????? ???????? ?????????????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ????????? ?????? ????????? ????? ?, ?? ????? ?? ????? ????????????? ???? ?????, ???? ? ???????? ???? ??? ??????? ?? ?????? ??????? ? ??? ?????? ??? ????????????????? ???????????;
- ????????? ? ???????? 2003-?? ????????? ?? ????????? ??????????? ??????????? ????????????? ????????;
- 2007-??, ???? ???????? ?
????????? ??????????? ???????????
?????? ???????`?????? ?????? ????????? ????????????? ??? ??????? ???????????? ?????;
- 2009-? ????????? 6-?? ???? ???????? ???????? ??????? ???????
?????????????
?????????
???????? ??????????? ??????????????? ?????????? ??????? ?? ????????? ????????? ???? ?. ????? ??? ?????? ?? ??????????? ?????, ??? ??????? ??, ?? ?????? ? ????????? ??????? ????????: ?? ????? ????? ??? ??????????, ?? ????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?????????, ??? ?????? ?? ?? ????????????, ????? ?????????? ?????????? ??? ??????????? ????????????????;
- 2011 ? 2012??. ?? ?????? ?????????? 50 ???????????? ?????????? ???? ????????????? ?????????? ????????;
- 2011-? ????????? 9-?? ????????? ?????????? ? ?????????????? ?????????? ?????? ???? ???????? ? Talcott Parsons ???????;
- ?? ?
??????? ??????, ?????? ?????
?(
Thinking, Fast and Slow)
????? 2011-?? ????????? ???????? ??????????????? ?????????
Los Angeles Times
-???;
- 2012-?? ?
??????? ??????, ?????? ????
??(
Thinking, Fast and Slow)
?????
?????????????? ??????? ??????????
?????? ????????? ????????` Communication Award ?????2011-? ????????? ????;
- 2012-?? ?? ????????? Real Academia Espanola (???????????????? ? ?????????) ????? ??????????;
- 2013-? ???????? 8-?? ???????
????? ??????
??????????, ?? ?????? ????????? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????;
- 2015-? ??????? 1-?? ???? ???????? ?
????????
?????? ???????????
??????? ?????????? ???????? ??????? ???????;
- 2018-? ??????????? ????????? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ????????? ? ???? ???????
?????? ??????????? ?? ??????????? ????????????? ?? ???????
- ????????, ?. (1973)
????????????? ? ???? (Attention and Effort)
. ??????? ?????, ???? ????? (
Prentice-Hall
)
- ????????, ?., ??????, ?., ???????, ?. (1982)
????????????? ???????????? ????????????. ??????????? ? ????????????????
(
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases)
. ???? ????, ???????? ??????????? ??????
- ????????, ?., ??????, ?., ?????, ?. (Eds.). (1999).
????????????. ??????? ????????????? ???????
(
Well-being: The Foundations of Hedonic Psychology)
. ???? ????, Russell Sage ?????????
- ????????, ?., ???????, ?. (Eds.) (2000)
??????????, ???????? ? ?????????? (Choices, Values and Frames)
. ???? ????, ???????? ??????????? ??????
- ????????, ?. (2011)
?????????????. ????? ?? ??????? (Thinking, Fast and Slow)
,
Farrar, Straus and Giroux
,
ISBN
978-0374275631. (????????? ?
?????? ???????
?????? ???? ????? ?????? ???????????????????, 2011-? ?????????? 22, ?? 40-44)
- Kahneman D., Tversky A. (1979) Prospect theory? An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47. - 313-327.
- Tversky A., Kahneman D. (1992) Advances in prospect theory? cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5. - 297-232.
- ↑
1,0
1,1
Encyclopædia Britannica
- ↑
2,0
2,1
Munzinger Personen
(????.)
- ↑
3,0
3,1
3,2
Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate who upended economics, dies at 90
?
Washington Post
.
- ↑
4,0
4,1
4,2
https://www.timesofisrael.com/nobel-prize-winning-economist-daniel-kahneman-who-upended-field-dies-at-90
- ↑
Davos 2013 Participant List
- ↑
6,0
6,1
??????? ??????? ????????? ???????
- ↑
Daniel Kahneman
?
www.nasonline.org
.
- ↑
Professor Daniel Kahneman
?
AAAS
.
- ↑
Kahneman, Daniel: Az MTA koztestuletenek tagjai
?
mta.hu
.
- ↑
Dr. Daniel Kahneman
?
APS
.
- ↑
Excmo. Sr. Dr. D. Daniel Kahneman
?
Real Academia de Ciencias Economicas y Financieras
.
- ↑
Fellows of the Econometric Society
?
Econometric Society
.
- ↑
13,0
13,1
Bibliotheque nationale de France
data.bnf.fr
(??.)
: ????????? ??? ????????
? 2011.
- ↑
CONOR.Sl
- ↑
15,0
15,1
15,2
15,3
15,4
15,5
Mathematics Genealogy Project
? 1997.
- ↑
Who's who
(????? ????.)
?
(untranslated)
, 1849. ? ISSN
0083-937X
- ↑
≪Department of Psychology/Princeton University≫
. ?????????? ?
??????????
2006 ?? ?????? 16-??
. ??????? ? 2014 ?? ?????????? 23-??
.
|
---|
| 1969?1975
| | |
---|
| 1976?2000
| |
---|
| 2001?2025
| |
---|
|
| |
---|
| ?????????? ? ???????????????
| |
---|
| |
|