The two-party-preferred figure is obtained after all preferences of minor candidates have been distributed to the two remaining candidates, usually Labor and Coalition.

The two-party-preferred statistic is the only valid means of measuring the support of candidates and parties from election to election. Whilst the primary vote is indicative of party support, the use of compulsory preferential voting produces a more reliable figure for measuring swings for and against the Coalition and the ALP.

Two-Party-Preferred Information

• An explanation of the Two-Party-Preferred Vote
• Preference Allocation in Denison 2010 – an excellent example of preferential voting in action, where the candidate who came third on primary votes was able to win after the distribution of preferences.
• How Important Are Preferences In Australian Elections?
• Exaggerated Majorities

Two-Party-Preferred Statistics

• Two-Party-Preferred Statistics At Each Federal Election Since 1949
• State-by-State Two-Party-Preferred Statistics At Every Federal Election Since 1984
• 2016 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Figures State-by-State
• 2013 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Figures State-by-State

Primary Vote Leads Overturned By Preferences

• 2016 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• 2013 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• 2004 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• 2001 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• 1998 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• 1996 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers

Research Papers

• Federal Election Results 1901-2014 – a Parliamentary Library research paper with detailed statistics on elections since 1901.
• ALP Federal Election Results Since 1910

How-To-Vote Cards

• The Importance of How-To-Vote Cards

Archived Posts

• Dec 08, 2016: Success And Failure: The ALP’s Results In Federal Elections Since 1910
• Sep 15, 2016: Final Two-Party Figures: Coalition Won 2016 Election With 50.36%; Swing To Labor Of 3.13%
• Aug 20, 2016: MPs Who Won Their Seats On First Preferences In The 2016 Federal Election
• Aug 19, 2016: 2016 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• Jul 13, 2016: National Swing To ALP Currently 3.17%; Swings To ALP In Every State And Territory
• Mar 01, 2015: Preferential Voting In Action: Denison 2010
• Feb 16, 2015: Electoral Pocketbook – 2015
• Jul 17, 2014: Federal Election Results 1901-2014
• Nov 28, 2013: Final Two-Party Figures: Coalition Won 2013 Election With 3.61% Swing
• Nov 01, 2013: 2013 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• Dec 01, 2004: 2004 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• May 31, 2004: 2004 Seat And Notional Seat Status: AEC
• Dec 15, 2001: 2001 Primary Vote Winners, Preference Vote Losers
• Oct 10, 2001: 2001 Federal Election Pendulum
• Dec 10, 1998: AEC Electoral Newsfile: Guide To 1998 Federal Election Results
• Dec 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics By State And Seat
• Dec 01, 1998: 1998 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics
• May 01, 1996: 1996 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics
• May 01, 1993: 1993 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics
• May 01, 1990: 1990 Federal Election: Two-Party-Preferred Statistics