????????????? ?????????????
??????????????
????
????
?????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??? ??? ????? ???????????????? ?????????????????? ???????
[1]
????????????????????????????
???
?????????????????????????????????????
?????????????
???????????????????????????????????????,
????????
?????????????
????
??????
???????
???????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????? ???????????????????
??????????????? ?
????
??????????????????
???????? ???????????? ????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
????????????
???????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 20 ??. ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????, ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????
[2]
??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????
??????????????
,
???????????????
???
??????????????
??????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????
????????
???
????????
???????????? 1953 ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 50 ??? ????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????
[3]
???????????????? 4 ????: ????????????, ????????? ??????????, ??? ?????????? ???????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????? ??????????????????????, ??????????????????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? 18 ????????????????????????????????????????? ????????, ????????, ???????? ????????????????
???????
[
???
]
???????
[
???
]
- Burgess, D. W., R. J. Donaldson Jr., and P. R. Desrochers, 1993:
Tornado detection and warning by radar. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr.
, No. 79,
American Geophysical Union
, 203?221.
- Corfidi, S. F., 1998:
Forecasting MCS mode and motion.
Preprints 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms,
American Meteorological Society
,
????????????
, Minnesota, pp. 626?629.
- Davies, J. M., 2004:
Estimations of CIN and LFC associated with tornadic and nontornadic supercells
. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 714?726.
- Davies, J. M., and R. H. Johns, 1993:
Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes. Part I: Helicity and mean shear magnitudes. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards
(C. Church et al., Eds.), Geophysical Monograph 79, American Geophysical Union, 573?582.
- David, C. L. 1973:
An objective of estimating the probability of severe thunderstorms
. Preprint Eight conference of Severe Local Storms.
????????
,
American Meteorological Society
, 223?225.
- Doswell, C.A., III, D. V. Baker, and C. A. Liles, 2002:
Recognition of negative factors for severe weather potential: A case study
. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 937?954.
- Doswell, C.A., III, S.J. Weiss and R.H. Johns (1993):
Tornado forecasting: A review. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards (C. Church et al., Eds)
, Geophys. Monogr. No. 79, American Geophysical Union, 557?571.
- Johns, R. H., J. M. Davies, and P. W. Leftwich, 1993:
Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes. Part II: Variations in the combinations of wind and instability parameters. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction and Hazards, Geophys. Mongr.
, No. 79, American Geophysical Union, 583?590.
- Evans, Jeffry S.,:
Examination of Derecho Environments Using Proximity Soundings
.
NOAA.gov
- J. V. Iribarne and W.L. Godson,
Atmospheric Thermodynamics
, published by D. Reidel Publishing Company,
??????????
, the
??????????????????
, 1973
- M. K. Yau and R. R. Rogers,
Short Course in Cloud Physics, Third Edition
, published by Butterworth-Heinemann, January 1, 1989, EAN 9780750632157
ISBN 0-7506-3215-1
???????????????
[
???
]
??????:Meteorological variables