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???????? ?????????? ??????? ????? ??????? 2016 ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ????????????? ???????? ???????? ????? ???????? ? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ?????????? ????????? ????? ?????:

??????? ??????????? ????????????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ????? ??? ? ??????????????? ? ??????? ????????? [1] [2] [3] ? ???????????? ??????????? ? ?????????? ??????????????????? ???????????????? ????????? ?? ???????? ???????? , ????????? ?????????, ??????, ???????????, ??????????, ??????????? ? ???????????? ? ????????????????? ??? ?????????? ????????????????? ?? ??????????? ???????? ???????? ? ?????????? ????????? ?????????????????? ??? ???????????? ????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ???????, ?????? ?? ?????????????? ????? ? ???????? ???????????? ??????????? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ?????????????????, ??????? ??????????? ???????????????? ???????? ? ???????????????? [4] ?

???? ??????? ?????????????????, ??????? ????????????? ? ?????????? ???????? ?????????????????? ??????????????? ?? ?????????? ???????????? ? ???? ??????????? ????? ?? ???? ?????????? ??????? ??????????? ? ???????? ????????? ????????????????? ? ???????????? ???????????????? ????????? ????????? ?? ???????? ????????? ??????? ????????? ????????????????? ?????, ???????? ?? ????? ????? ? ???? ????????? ????????????????? , ???????? ??????????????? [4] [5] ? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ??? ??????? ???, ????? ????????? ????? ?? ???????? ??????? ?????????????????? ??? ??????? ???????????????? ????????? ?? ??? ????????????? ????????????, ????? ?????? ????????? ??? ???????? ??? ????????? ??? ????????? [6] [7] ?

??????? ???????????????? ????? ?? ????????? ???? ????????????? ? ??????????????? ????????????? ????????, ???? ?????????? ? ??????????? ????? ??????????, ????? ????????????? ????????????? ? ????????? ??? ??????????????? ???????? ???????? ?? ???? ? ???????? ??????????? ??, ??????????? ????????, ????????, ???? ????????? ? ??????? ??????????? ??? ????????? ?????????? [4] [8] [9] ?

??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ?????? ??????????? ??? ????? ???????? ? ????? ????????????? ????? ??????????????, ????????????? ? ?????????? [4] [8] ? ??????????, ???????? ?? ??????, ???? ? ??????-????????? ???????????, ?????? ?? ??? ???????? ???, ?? ??????? ?? ??? ??????????? ??????? ?????? ??????????? ????? ???????? ?????? [9] ? ???????? ?????????? ?????????? ????????? ? ????????? ?????? ?? ???????? ??????????? ?????, ???????? ????? ?????, ????? ?????????? ?? ??????? ???????????? ???????????????? ?????? ?? ????????? ? ?????? ???????????????? ?????????? ??????????? ? ????????? ???????????? ???? 65 ????????? ????? ????????????? ???????? ?????? ? ???? ? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ??? ????? ??? ??????????? ???????? [8] ? ??????????? ??????? ????????????? ?? ??????? ?????? ?????????? ??????????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? [4] ?

??????? ??????????? ???????????????? ??????????? ??? ????? ?? ????? ?? ?????????????? ???????? ??????????????? ??????????????? ?????????? ???????????? 2009 ???????? The Lancet -? ????????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ??. ≪??????? ????????????? 21-?? ???? ?????? ??????????? ???????? ?????????? ?≫ [10] ? ??????????????? ????????????? ????????????????? ?????? ? ????? ????? ??? 2015 ???????? [11] ? 2019 ???????? ??????????? ???????? ?????????? ?????????? ??????? ????????????? ?????????? ????????????? ???????? ???????? [12] ?

?????????????????? ????? ?? ?????, ?? ?????? ????????? ??????????????? ?????? ???????????? ???????? ??, ?? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ?, ????????????? ?????????? ? ?????????? ? ????????? ????????? ?? ????? ?????????????? ?????????????????? ????? ?? ????? ???, ?? ??????? ??????????? ??? ??????? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ? ???????? ?????????????? ??????????????? ?????? ???????????? ????? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ???????????? ??????????? ????????? ? ????? ???????? ?????, ????????????? ??? ?????? ?????? ????????? ???????????? ????? ? ???????????? [13] ? ?????????????????? ????? ?? ????, ?? ??????? ??????????? ????? ???????????, ????? ??? ???????????? ?? ????? ????????????? ?????, ??? ?? ?? ???????? ????????????? ?????, ????? ????????? ?, ?? ?????? ????????????? ?????????????? [14] [15] ?

?????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ??????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ????????? ?????????, ?????????????? ? ????????? ?????????????????? ???? ?????????? ????????? ???????????????? ???????? ?? ???????? ????????? ??????, ????? ???????? ?????????? ????????? ? ???? ????????? ??????????? ?? ?? ?????? ?????? ? ?????????? ??????? ???????? ? ????? ????????, ?????? ??? ???????????? ? ?????????????????? ??? [16] :????????? ?????????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???? ?? ? ????? ??????? ??????????? ?? ???????? ???????? ? ???????, ??? ??????? ???????? ????? ???????????????? ??? ???????????? ???????????? ?????? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ? ????????? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ?? ????? ?????????? ??????? ?

??????? ???????????????? ???????? ??? ?????? ????? ???? ????????????, ????????? ?????????? ??? ???? ????? ???? ? ????????, ??? ???????????? ??? ????? ???????? ????? ???? ? ????????, ??? ????? ????????? ??? ???? [17] ? ???????????? ??? ??????? ??????????? ???????? ??????????????? ???? ????? ???????? ?? ????????? ???????????? ??????????, ???????????? ?????????? ???? ????????? ?????????? ? ???????????? ???????? ????? ???????? ?? ????????? ??????????? ?????????? ????? ???????? ?? ??? ???????????? ?????????? ???????????????, ???????? ????????? ?????????? ???????????? ????????????? ?????????? [18] ? ????????? ???????? ???? ???????????? ? ????????? [19] ?

?????? ????????? ??? ???????????? ? ??????? ?????? ???????????? ??????????? ??? [20] ? ???? ????????? ? ?????? ???????????? ? ???????????? ??????????, ?????? ???????? ? ????????? ????????? ????? ????????? ????????? [21] ? ?????? ????????? ????????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????? ???? ????? ????? ?????????? ???????? ??? ???????? ???????? ?? ????????? ?????????, ??????? ??????? ????????? ????? ??? ????????????????? ???????? ????? ???? ???? [22] ? 2 °C (3,6 °F) ???????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ????????? ??? 10% -? ???????? ????? [23] :

??????? ??????????? ????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

The Lancet-??? ??????????? 2021 ??????? ???????? ????? ? ????, ?? ??????? ????????????? ???????? ??????????? ??? ?? ?????? ???????????? ???????????? ????????????? ?????? ? ??????????? ???????, ???????? ?? ?????????, ??????, ?????????, ?????????, ???????? ???? ????????? ???????? ??????? ??????, ??? ??????????????????? ? ??????? ?????????? [4] ?

??????????? ??????????????????? ??????? ???????? ???, ????? ??????? ?? ????????? ?????????? ??????????????? ????? ?????? ? ????????? ≪??????????????, ??????-?????????, ????????????, ????????????? (??????? ????????? ?????????? ??????? ????????? ?????????), ???????????? ? ????????????? ?????????? [16] ?

??????????? ??? ??????????? ?????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????????? ??? ????? ???????? ????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ? ????????? ??????? ? ????????? [9] ? ??????????? ????? ????????? ?? ????????? ?? ?????????? ?????????? ???? ??????????? ? ?????????? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????? ? ??????????? ????????? ????????????? ???????????? ? ?????????? ????????? ????? ????????? ?????????? ?? ?????.

  • ??????? ??????????? ??? ??????? ?????????? ??????????????????? ??????????????? ? ????? ????????? ????? ??????????, ??????????, ????????, ???????? ??????? ? ????????? ???????? [4]
  • ????????? ??????????? ??? ??????. ????? ??????????? ?? ???????????? ???????????????? ??????? (??????? ????????????????? ???????????????????? ? ????????????????? ???????????? ????????????, ??? ????? ?????????????, ??? ????? , ??? ???????????????? , ?????????????? ????????????? , ??????????? ?????????????)
  • ?????????? ???????? (?????? ? ????, ????????? ??????, ??????-????????? ???????????, ?????????? ???????? , ???????? ????????????? ?????????????????? , ????????????????? ? ???????????? ???????????

??????????? ??? ?????? ??? ??????? ?????????? ?? ?????? ????????? ? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????? ? ????????????? ???????????????? ????????? ??? ????????? ????????? ????????????????? ?????????? ?????? ??????????????? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ???????, ??? ????? ? ????? ??? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?? ??????????? ????? ??? ???????? ??? ???????? ???? ??????-????????? ??????????? ? ??????????? ?????????? ?????? ?????????????? ?????????? ? ??????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? ? ????????? ??????????? ??????? ?????????? ? ????????? ??????????? ? ??????? ??? (?????? ???????? ????? ? ???????? ??? ??? ?????????) [9] ?

????????????? ????????? ??????????? ? ????????????? ??? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ???????, ????????? ? ?????????? ??????? ???????????????? ??????????? ? ????????????? ??? ?????????? ?? ??????? ????????? ????????????????? ??????????? ???????????????? , ????????? ???????????????? , ??????? ???????????????? , ??????????? , ??????? ???????????????? , ??????? , ??????????? ? ?????????????? [9] ?

??????????????? ? ????????????? ????????? ??? ????? ?? ????? ??? ????????????? ??????????? ????????? ? ?????????????????? ?????? ??????? ????????? ???????? ??????????????????, ???????? ?? ???????????? ????????, ???????????????? ????????????? ??????????? ?????????? ????????????????? ? [4] [17] ?

????????????? ??????? ??????????? ??? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ??????????? ??????? ??????????? ? ????????????? ??? ?????????? ??? ?? ???????? ???????? ? ?????? ??????????? ? ????????? ????? ??????? ???????????????? ??????? ?????? ????? [24] ? ?????????? ????? ???? ???????? ???????, ??????? ??? ??????????? ????? ?? ????????? ? ???????????, ????????????? ??? ????????? ??????? [25] ? ????? ????? ???????? ? ?????? ??? ?????? ?????????, ????? ????????? ?? ???????? ?????????? ?????????????????? ??????????? ????????? ????? ???????? ?? ??????????????? ????????? ????????? (PTSD): ??????? ?????????????????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? ?????? ?? ???? ?????????? ???? ????? ???????? ?? ???????????, ????????????, ?????????, ?????, ????????? ???????? ? ?????????? [26] ? ????????? ????????? ????? ? ????? ????????? ? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????? ?????? ? ??? ?????????, ??? ??????????????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ? ????? ??? ?????? ????? ???????????? ????? [26] ? ?????? ????????? ????? ? ????? ???????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ?????, ???????? ??? ????????? ??????, ????? ??? ???? ??? ?????? ?????? [25] ?

????????? (?????????) ????? ????????? ?????????? ????? (2019 ?.) ??????????? ????? ? ???? ???????? ??????? ??????????? ???? ????????? ????????? ????????? ????????????????? ???????? ? ??????? ??????????? ?????????

????????? ?????, ??? ???? ? ????? ?????, ??????? ??????????? ???????? ????????????? ? ????? ??? ??????? ?????? ?????????? ???, ????? ?????? ?????????? ??, ?? ????????? ???????????? ????? ??????? ??????????? ??? [27] [27] ? ???????? ??????? ??????????? ????????????????, ???????? ?? ????????? ????? ????????? ??? ????????????????, ???????????? ?? ??? ???????????? ? ?????????? ???????? ???????????????? [28] ? ???????? ??? ????? ? ??????? ?????????? ??????????? ??, ????? ???????????????? ????????????? ??? ??????? ??, ???? ????????????? ??????????? ? ????????? ??????????????? ????? ? [29] ?

??????? ??????????? ???????????? ?????? ?? ?? ???? ????????????????????????? ????? ??????????? ?? ??????? ???????????, ???????? ?? ???????????????? ?????????????, ?????????????, ????????????? ? ???????????????????? ????????????? ????????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ?????????????????? ??????, ???? ?????????????, ??????????? ?? ?????????????, ????????? ?? ??????????? ?????? ?????? ??? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? ???????????? ????? ?? ??????? ???-??????????????? , ??????????? ???? ? ???-???????? [30] [31] ? ???? ???????? ????? ?? ????? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ??????? ???????????? ? ????????? ????????????? ????????????????? [32] ?

????? ? ??????? ??????????? ??????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ???????????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????????????????? ??? ????? ? ???????????? ??????? ??????????? ?????, ??? ????? ? ????????? ??????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ???????????????? ????????????? ? ??????????????? ???? [33] ?

????? ???????????? ????????? ???????? ??????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

?????? ????? ????? ???????????? ????????????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ???????? ???????????? ???????? ?????????????, ?????? ??????????? ????????????? ???????? ????????, ???? ? ????????? ?????????????? ???, ????????????????, ???? ? ????????????? ??????????????? (??????? ????????????), ???? ??? ?????? ???????????? [4] ?

????????? ? ????????? ??????????? ????? ? ????????? ???????????? ????? ? ????? 1,09 °C ???????? (????????? ? 0,95-?? 1,20 °C) 1850-1900-?? ????? 2011-2020 ??????????? ????? ????????????????? ? ??????? ?? ???? ??????????? ?????????? ????????? ????????????? ??? [18] ? 1970-????????? ? ??? ??? ??????? ???????? ? ????? ????, ??? ???????? ??? 50-???? ?????????????, ??????? ?????? 2000 ????? ??????????

2023 ?. - ? ??????????????????? ????? ? ????, ?? 1960-1990 ?????????? ??????? ????????????? ????? ??? 600 ?????? ?????? (????????? ??????????? 9% -?) ???? ? ≪???????????? ?????≫ ??????????? ?????? ????? ???????????? ????????, ????? ?????? ??????????? ?? [19] ?

2020 ?.-? ??????????????????? ????????? ?, ?? ??? ?????????, ????? ???????? ? ????? ??????????? ??? ???????, 50 ????? ????????? ????? ?? ???????? ???????, ????? ???????? ???????? ?????????? ? ????? ??????????? ??? ??????????? ??????????? ? ????? ?????????? , ???? ??? ?????????? ?????? ?????????????? ??? ????????? ??? ??????????????? ????? ??????????? ????? ??????? ???????????? 29 °C-?? ????? ????? ≪?????? ???????????? ??????≫ ?????? ?????? ????? ???????????? ???????????? ??????? ????? ?????????? ????????, ??? ??????? ? ???????? ????? ??????? ???????????? (MAT) ????????? ???, ? 2020 ??????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ????? ??????????????????? ?????? ?????????????????? [20] [21] ? ??? ??????????????? ????? ??????????? ????? ??????? ???????????? ????? ≪?????? ???????????? ?????≫ ??????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????????? ???????????? ??????? ??? ?????????? ???????????????? ???????????? ???? ?????????????????? ? ???? ? ??????????, ?? ≪??????? ??? ??????????? ???????? ????, ????? ?????? ?? ???????? ???????? ???????? ???? ? ??????????? ????????? ??????? ???????????????, ????? ? ????? ????? 68 ???????? ???????? ??? ??? ????????≫, ??? ????????? ???????????? ??????????? ????? 2 °C-? [22] , ??? ??????????? ?, ?? ?????? ??? ??????? ??? ?????? ???????????? ??????? ????? ? 1,5 °C-??

???? ??? ?????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????? ???????? ????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

?????????? ????? ??????????? ??????? ? ???????? ???? ???? [23]

???????? ????????????????? ??? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ?? ???? ??????? ??????? ??????, ????????????????????, ?????? (???????????? ??? ??????), ?????????, ????????? (65 ????????? ?????), ?????????? ????????????????, ???????????????? ? ????????? ???????????????? ??????? ?????? [4] ? ????? ?????? ?? ??? ?????, ????? ??????? ?? ????????? ??????????? (????????? ???????? ????? ??????????? ????????), ??????? ??????????? ? ??????, ????? ??????? ?????????? ????? ?? ????????? [4] ? ???????? ????? ?????????? ????? ????? ? ???????????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ???????? ?????????? ?????? ????? [4] [34] ?

??????? ????????????? ????????? ? ???????? ???????? ????????????????? ?? ??????????, ???????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ? ???????? ??????? ?????? ????????? ????? ? ??????? ???????? ?????? ? ??????????? ? ???????? ???? ??? ?????? ? ???????? ???, ?????????? ???? ????????? ? ????????? ??? ?????? ??????????????? ???? ??????, ??? ????? ? ????????? ????????? ?????????? ??????? ????-???????? ? ????????? ????????????????? ??????????? [2] ? ?????? ????????? ????? ???????????? ???????? ????????? ??????????? ???????????? ???????? ??, ??????, ???? ????? ? ??????? ??????? [2] ? ???????? ???????? ??? ????????? ?? ?????????? ?????? ???????????? ????????????? (CKD) [35] [36] : ???????? ???????? ?????????????, ????????? ???????????????????? ? ?????????? ??????? ????????? ?? ???-? ????????? ??????

?????? ??????? ????????? ? ???????????? ???????? ? ???????????? ???????? ?????, ???????? ??? ?????????????? ????????? ???? ?? ??? ???????? ??????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ???? ? ??????????? ??????? ????? ? ???????? ?????? ???????????? ??????????

????? ????? ???????? ????? ???????????? ????????? ?, ?? ?????? ??????? ????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ????? [37] [38] ? ????? ????? ???????????? 35 °C-??? ????????? ? ?????? ????? ?????????? (?????? ??????, ≪?????? ??????????????????? ????????????? ???≫ ????? ? ????????????) [39] ? 2020 ??????? ????????? ????? ????? ?????????? ???????? ?? ??????? ????? ????? ???????????? 35 °C, ??? ?? ??? ???? ?????????, ???? ?????????? ?, ?? ??? ?????????????????? ????????????????? ? ???????????? ???????? ??????? ???????????? ??????????? ???????? [40] [41] [42] ? 1,5 ????????? ????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ? ???????????? ????? ???? ????????? ?????? ????? ?? ?????? ???????, ???? ?? ????? ????? ???????????? ???? ????? ? ??????????? [37] ?

?????? ?????????????????????? ????? ?? ????, ?? ???????? 31 ??????? ????? ????? ???????????? ????????? ? ????? ????????? ? ????? ???????? ?????? ??? ???? ?????? ????? ???????? ?? ? ?????? ? ???????? ???????????, ???????? ?????? ????????? ??????????, ????????????? ? ??????? ??? ?????? ???????????? ???????? 3 ????????? (?????????????? ???????, ??? ???? ??? ??????), ???????????? ?????????? ??? ??????? ???????????, ????????????, ???????????, ???????? ??????????, ???-???, ?????????????, ????????? ??????????? [43] ?

??????????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ???????? ??????? ?????? (?????? ? ???????? , ?????????????? , ?????????? ????????????? ) ????? ??? ????? ?? ??????????, ??? ??????? ?? ????? ???????????? ? ???? ? ???????? ?????? ????? [44] , ???? ?? ?????????? ?, ?? ????? ???????????? ?????? ???? ? ?????? ??????????? ?????????? ??? [45] ? ????????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ? ?????, ????? ??????? ???, ??? ????? ??? ???????????/????????????? ???????????????? ?????, ???? ? ???????? ???? ???????? ??? ?????????????? [44] [46] ?

???????? ????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??????????????? ????????? ?????? ????????? ? 1,8-8,2%-?? ????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ????? ???????????? ??? [47] ? ?????? ?????? ??????????? ????????????? ??????? ???????? ????????????? ????????? 8%-?? ?? ? ????????? 29 °C-?? ????? ???????????? ????????????? 1 °C ?????????? ??????? [34] ?

????????? ?????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

???????? ???????? ??? ??????? ??????????? ???????????? ???? ?, ??? ?????? ? ?????? ??????????? ???. ????????? ???? ??????????? ????????????? ???????????? ??????? ??????? ???????. ??????? ????? ? ????? ???? ??????????, ??????? ????? ? ????? ??? ??????????:

???????? ???????? ????????????? ????? ??????? ? ????????? ??????????????, ???? ?? ????????? ???????? ????? ??????????? ???????? ????? ????????? ????? ??? ??, ??? ?????? ????????? ??????? [48] [49] ? ?? ????????????? ? ???????? ????????? ??????????? ??????, ????? ????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???????? ?????????, ???????? ????????????, ?????? ??? ??? ??? ??????????? ???????? ??????, ????? ????????? ???????????? ?? ?????????? ???????? ? ?????????????? [34] ? ?????? ???????????? ??????????????? ?? ??? ?????? ? [49] ?

???????? ???????? ????????????? 30 °C-?? ????? ????? ??????? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ? 1983-?? 2016 ??????????? [48] ? ??? ???? ? ??? 50%-??, ??? ????? ?????? ??? ????????? ??????????? ??? [48] ?

????????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ? ??????????? ????? ??????????????, ????????? ???????? ???????? ???????????, ?????? ? ?????? ????????? ????? ???????? ???????????? ? ????????? ?????????????????? ??????? ???????? ???????????? ???????? [50] ?

????? ???????????? ??? ?????? ???????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????????????? ???????????? ??????????????? ??, ?? ≪???????? ???? ????????????? ????????? ? ???????????, ????????????? ? ????????? ?????????????????? ?????? ?????, ?????? ??? ????? ??????????? ?????????????, ?? ????? ? ??? ???????? ???? ??????? ? ???????? ?????≫? 65 ????????? ????? ???????? ???????? ????? ????????????? ????? ? ?????????? ????? ????????? ? 2019 ???????? ?????? ? ??? 345,000 ???≫ [4] ? 2003 ???????? ?????????? ?????? ???? ????????? ??????? ? ????? ??? 70,000 ???????? [51] ? 2015-? ???????? ????????? ?????? ???????? ??????? ??? ????? ??? 2000 ???? ? ????? 49 °C (120 °F) ???????? ???? ???????? [52] [53] ?

?????? ???????? (?????????) ?????????????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ???? ??? ?????? ?????????????, ?????? ????????? ???????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? ???????? ?, ???? ?? ??? ???????? ? ?????????? ?????? ???????????, ??? ???????????????, ???????????????? ???????????? ??????????? ? ????????? ???????? ????????? [4] ?

???????? ???????? ????????? ????????????? ????? ? ????????, ??? ??????? ????? ??? ????????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ?????, ??? ??? ?????????? ????? ??? ?????? ?????? ????????? ?????, ??????? ????? ????????? ????????? ???????? ????????? [54] [55] ? ???????? ???????? ??? ?????????????? ? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? ????????????????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???

???????????????? ??????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

???????? ????????????? ????? ? ????? ???????? ???????????????? ??? [4] ? The Lancet-? ??????? Countdown ???????? ????? ???????? ????????????? ? ????????? ?????????????? ?? ?????? ?, ?? 2021 ??????? ????????? ????? ???????????? 470 ????????? ??????? ? ?????? ????????? ??????????????, ???? 37 ??????? ???? ?? ????????? 1990-???????? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ???????????? ???? ????????????? ???????? ?????? ? ???????? ???????? ????????????????? ?????? ?????????? ???? ??? ?????????? ?????????????? ??? ??????????? ????? ???????????????? (87%) ???? ? ????????????????? ???????? [2] ?

???????? ????? ???????? ????? ? ????????? ????????? ??????????????????, ?????? ??? ????????????? ????????, ???? ?? ????????????? ????????????? ????? ? ????? ????? ????? ???? ??? ?????? ????????? ????????? ????????, ???????? ?? ??????????, ??????????????, ??????????? ? ???????????? [1] [56] ?

????? ? ??????? ?????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

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Flat expanse of brown grasses and some green trees with black and some gray smoke and visible flames in the distance.
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??????? ????????????? ????????? ? ????????? ????????? ????????? ????????????????? ? ????? ????????????? [69] ?  ??????? ????????????? ?????????? ? ???? ???????????? ???????????, ? ??? ??????????? ???????? ?? ???? ?????? ????? ??? ??????????, ????????? ????? ??? ???????????????, ????????? ??????????? ????? ?????????, ???????? ????????? ??????? ?? ? ???????? ??? ????? [70] ?

????????? ?????????? ????? ????? ????????? ? ?????????, ????? ???????? ???????????? ?? ???????? ?????? ??????????? ??? [71] ? ????? ??? ????????? ??????????? ?? ??????? ????????? ? ????? ?????? [70] ? ????????? ? ?????? ?????? ????????? ?????????????????? ????????? ??????? ????????? ????????? ????? ??????? ? ??? ???????? ? ??????????? ??????????????, ???????? ?? ???????????? ? ?????????????? [72] ? ??? ??????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ????????????? ?????????? ???????????? ??????? ?????????? ? ??????????? ????? ?????????????, ????? ????? ????? ???????? ???????????? [70] ?

????????? ????????? ??? ??????????? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ????????? ????????????????? ??????? ? ?????????, ???????? ?? ?????? ? ?????? ?????? ??????????? ?????????? . ?????? ????????, ????????????? ? ?????????????? ????? ??????????, ?????????? ?????-??????????? ?????????? , ?????????? ??????????? ? ?????????????? ?????????? ????????? ???????????????, ? ????????? ???????? ????? [71] ?

????????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ????????????????? ??? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ???? ????????? ????????????? ????????? ? ????????????????, ????? ????? ?? ???????????????? ????, ?????? ? Aedes aegypti - ? ? ??????, ??? ????? ????? ???? ?:

??????? ?????? ????????????? ????????? ? ???? ??????? ????????????????? ?????????????? ??????????? [73] ? ??????? ?????????????????, ????? ????????? ??? ?????? ? ??????? ?????????????, ???????? ??, ??????,, ???????? ?? ????? ????? , ???????? , ?????? ????????? ?????????????????, ??????????? , ???? ????? , ????????????? ? ?????? ? ????????????????? ????????? ??????????? ??????? ????????????? ???? ??? ?, ?? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ????????? (??? ????????????????? ??????????) ????????????? ???????? ? ????????????????, ????? ????? ?????? ????????????????? ≪??????? ??? ?????? ????? ??????? ????????? ? ??? ??????? ????????? ????????????????? ????????????????? ???? ? (????????????? ??? ????? ???????)≫? 2022 ???????? ???????????? ?????? ??, ?? ??? ??????? ????????? ? ????? ??????? ????????? ????????????????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? [74] ?

??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ????????????????? ????? ?? ?????????? ? ????????? ???????????????? (?????????? ?? ?????????, ????? ? ????? ???????), ??? ??????? ????????? ???????????????? (?????????? ?? ??? ??????? ??????????? ??? ?????????????) ? ?????? ????????? ???????????????? [1] ? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ??? ????????????????? ???????? ??? ? ?????????? ???????? ????????????? ???????? ? ??? ????????????????? ? ????? ?????????? ???????????????? [4] ? ?????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ??????? ??? ?????????, ?????? ?? ??????? ????????????? ????????? ? ???? ???????????????????? ?? ??????????????? ??????? ????????????????? ??? ??????????

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????????????? ????? ????? ???????????????? ????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? [96] ? ??????? ?????????? ???????? ???? ??? ?????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ????? ????????????? ??????? 20% - ?? ????? ????? ?, ??? ?????? ????? ????????? [96] ? ????????? ??????, ??????????? ????? ????????? ????? ????? ? ??? ?????????????? ????? ???????? ??????? ??????????? [97] ? ????????? ?????????????? ????? ????????? ?????? ? ????? ??? ??????????? ??? ? ?????? ? ????? ??? ????????????? ??????????, ????? ?????????? ?? NO2 ? VOC ?????????? ? ????? ???????????? ???????????? ??? ????? ???????? ?????????? [98] ?

???????? ??????????? ???, ?? ??????????? ????? ????? ? ??????? ?????? ????????? ? ?????? ????????? ????????? [99] [100] ? ????? (? ??? ???????? ??????? ????????) ????????????? ?????? ? ??????? ??????, ???????, ????????, ???? ??????? ? ??????????? ??? ????????? ??? [101] [102] ? ????? ????????????? ????? ? ???????? ??? ??? ???????, ??? ????? ????????? ?????????? ?? ????? ????? ???????????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ? ???????? ?????? ????????? ?????????? ???, ???????? ???????? ??????? ???????? ??? [96] ? ??????, ????? ???????????? ?????? ??? ?? ???????? ??? ???????????????? ?????????? ?????, ????????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ??, ?????????, ????????? ? ?????, ????? ????????? ????? ??????? ?? ?????????? ??????, ???????? ?? ??????????? ??????????? [103] ?

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????????????????? (?????????? ??????????) ?????? ?? ??? ????? (???) 2009 ?????????  ??? ?????? ??????????? ????? ?? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ?????????:

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??? ?????? ???????? ???????????? ???? Pseudo-nitzschia fraudulenta ?? ??? ?????? ????????? ? ?? ?????, ??? ??????? ? domoic ???? , ??? ???????????? ? ???????????? ??????????? ????? [107] [108] ? ?????????? ?, ?? ??? ?????? ???????????????? ???????? ? ????????? ???????? ??? ?????? CO2-? ????? ??? ???????????????? ??? [107] ? ???????? ??????????? ??????? ??????? ??????????? ????? ???????? ?????????????????? ?? ?????? ???????? ??. ?????????? ???? ??????????? , ???????????? ?????????? ??????????? , ???????????? ??????????? ????????????? , ???????????? ??????????? ?????????????? , ???????????? ??????????? ????????????? ? ???? ????? ??????? ???????????? ???????????? [107] ?

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CO2-? ????? ????? ???????????? ??????? ? ?????? ????? ?? ??????? ?????? ??????????? ???????????????? [109] [110] [111] ?

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??????????? ???????? ????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ????????? ? ??????????????????? ????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ????????? ? ??????????????????? ??????????????? ??????????? ???????? ????????? (??? ??????? ?? ≪???????? ????????≫) ????????? ??, ???? ?????????? ? ????? 21-?? ???? ≪??????????????? ???????? ?????? ???????????????≫ [9] ? ?????????????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????? ???????????, ???? ??????????? ????????? ????????????? [114] ? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ?????? ? ?????? ??????? ????????? ??? (???????? ?? ??? ?????????????? ???????? ? ??? ??? ?????? ??????????? ????????? [115] ) ? ?????? ? ??? ???????????? (??????? ??????????????? ??????? ????????????) ????? ? ??? ?????? ??? ????????????? ?????????????? ??? (?????? ????????????????? ?? ????????????? ??????? ?? ? ???????) [116] ?

??????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ??????????? ????? ??? ???????? ???????? ????????? ????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????? ??, ????? ????? ????????(??????? ????? ??? ?????? ???), ????? ????? ????????? ? ????? ????????? ?????????? ???????????? [4] ? ????????? ????? ?????????? ???????????????? ???????? ? ?????? ??? ??????? ???????????? [4] ?

????????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??? (?????????? ?????? ?????????????? ? ????????? ??????? ??? ??????), ≪?????? ???????? ???????≫, ??????? ???????????????? ????? 2040 ??????? ??? ?????????? ????????? ??? ?????????????? ??? ?????? ?????? ??????? 1,18 ???????, ?????????? ??? ?????? ?????? 5,86 ??????? ? 1,15 ??????? ????????? ???????????? ????????? ???????????????? ?????????? ??? ????????? ?????????? ?? ?????????? ?????? ??????? ?????????????? ???????? ? ???????? ??????????? ????????????? ????????? ???????? ??????????????????, ?????? ??? ?????????? ??????????? ? ??????? ????????? ???????????? [117] ? ??? ????????????????, ??? ????????? ? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?????????, ??????????? ? ?? ?????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ????, ?? ??????? ??? ???? ???????????????? ??????, ???? ???????????????? 2018-? ????????? 8,7 ??? ??????????? ?????? [118] [119] ?

????????????????? ????? ??????? ????????? ???????????? ???????? ??????????? ???????????? ????? ? ??????????????? ??????? ?????????? ???????????????? ? ??????????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ????????? [117] ?

?????? ?????????? ???????? ????????????? ????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

???????? ?, ?? ?????? ?????????? ????????? ??????????? ?????? ????? ? ???????? ????? ????? ????? ??????? [1] ? ?? ????? ? ????????? ??????? ??????????? ???? ?????????? ??????????????, 2022 ???????? ??? ???????????????? ?????????? ???????????? ????????? ?? ?????????????? [1] ?

????????????? ????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

?????????? ?????? ?????????? ???????????? ?????????????????? ???? ????????? ?????????????? ????? ? ?????? ????????? ??????????????? ??????????? ??? [120]

?????? ??????????? ??????? ??????????? ???????????? ?????? (???????????) ??? DALY -???? (????????????) ?????????? ??? ????? ?? ??????????????? ????????????? ??????????????? 2014 ??????? ??????????????????? ???????? ? ??????? ??????????? ????????????? ?????? ??????????? ???, ?????? ??????? ??????????? ?? ????? ???????????????? ?? ???????? [121] ? ??????? ???????? ?? ????? ???????? ? ???????? ??????????? ?????????????? ??????????????? ???????? ? ????? ???????? ???????? ?????????????? ?????????????, ?????, ?????????, ??????, ??????? ??????????? ? ???????? ???????? ??????? ???? ??????????? ???????? ??, ?? ???????????? ?, ?? ??????? ????????????? ????????? ??????? ????????? 250,000 ?????? ?????? 2030-?? 2050 ???????????, ???? ??? ?????? ?, ?? ≪??? ????? ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ??? ????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???, ???? ?? ??????????? ?????????????? ?? ???? ?????? ?????????????????? ?????≫ [121] ?

2004?.-?? ??? ????????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ?????? ?????????????, 3%-?, ????????? 3%-? ? ????? ?????? ???????????????? 3%-? ????? [122] ? ??????? 85%-? ???????? ??? ?? ????? ???????? ? ???????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ??? ?????????????????????

?????????? ?, ?? ??????? ??????????? ????????????? ??????????? ??? ????????? ??????? ??????????? ?????? ?????????? ????? ??????????? ???????????? ?????? ????????? ????????? [123] [124] ? ?????????? ??????????? [125] ??????? ?, ?? ??? ??? ?????? ????????? ????? ??? ????????? 2 °C-?, ??????????? 1 ??????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ? ????? ???????? ?????? ????????? [126] ?

?????????????? ? ???????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

?????????? ???????????? ? ?????????? ?????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ????????? ???? ????? ???? ??????? ? ?????? ???????? ??? (?????? ? ???? ???????????? ? ????????? ???????? ??????????)? ?????????? ???????? ???? ????????????????? ?????????? ?? ????????? ??????? [127] ? ????? ??? ?????? ????????? ???? ???????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???, ???? ?????????? ? ??????? ??????????? ??? ?????? ????????????????? [124] [128] [129] ?

??????? ????????????? ?????? ???????????? ???? ????????? ?????????????? ??? ? ????? ? ????????? ?????????? ???????? ??? ???????? ??? ?????????? [1] ? ????????? ????????????????? ????? ?? ????? ??????????? ? ????????????? ???, ????????????? ??????? ??????????? ???? ??????? ??????????? ???????????? ????????? ?????? ? ????????? ???? ??????.????????????? ???????? (??? ??? ??????? ??????????? ???????????????????? ), ???????? ????????, ??????????? ???????????? ?????????????? ? ????????????? (??? ??? ???????, ??? ?????? ??? ?????????? ??? ??? ????????? ???????????, ??? ?? ???????? ? ??????) [1] ?

???????????? ?????????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

?????????????????? ????? ?? ????, ?? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ????????????? ?????????? ????? ? ??????? ???????????, ??? ??? ?????????? ????? ????????????? ?????, ??? ?? ?? ????? ????????????? ?????? ?? ???????? ???? ? ??????????? ??? ?????? ???????? ??????????? ??? ???????? ???, ??? ???????? ?? ?????? ????????? ??????????, ??? ???????? ?? ????????????????? ??????? ????? 2017 ??????? [130] [131] ? ??????????? ??? ?????? ????????? ????? ??????????? ?????? ? ???????? ?????????? ?????? ?????????????? ????????? ???????????????? [50] ? ??????????? ??????????, ???????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?????, ??????? ??????????? ??????? ???????????? ??????????? ????????? ??????? ? [50] ?

???????? ???????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

??????? ??????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????????? ??????????? ?????????? ??? ?????? ????????? ????????????????? [132] :

?????? ??????????? ??? ?? ????? ??????????? ???????? [133] [134] ??????? ????????????? ????? ????? ? ?????? ???????? ??????????? ??????????????? ?????? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ????????? ???????????? ???????????????? ?????????? ? 100 ?????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ? ?????? ??????????? ????? ????? 1989 ???????? [124] [135] ? 21-?? ???? ?????? ??????? ????????????? ????? ?? ????? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ??????????? ????? ?????? ???????????, ?????? ? 2006 ???????? ?????????? ???-? ??????? ????????? ???? ????? ??????? 2018 ???????? ? ??? ??????? ?????????, ???????? ?? 2018-? ???????? ???? ? IPCC -? 2018-? ?????? ???????? 1,5 °C ?????? ???????? ??????????, ?? ????? ?? ?????????? ??????? ???????????? ????? ?????? ????????????? ????? ???????????? ?????????????? [50] [124] [129] ?

????????????? ????? ????????? ? ?? ???????, ??? ????? ? ????????? ????????????? ??????????? ? ????? ????? ????? ? ??????? ???????? ??????? ????????? ????? [136] ?

?????????????????? [ ???????? | ???????? ???? ]

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